Jimmy Cocking is right: It is almost certain that Central …

Comment on Heatwaves need to be treated as emergencies: Cr Cocking by Dave Richards.

Jimmy Cocking is right: It is almost certain that Central Australia will continue to have record-breaking heatwaves.
When you consider that records deemed accurate by the Bureau of Meteorology have only been kept for much less than a century, it would be as unlikely that we never have another record-breaking heatwave as it is that we have never had worse heatwaves in the past, heatwaves which have either not been recorded or are not deemed accurate.
The abuse of statistics to create a false or frightening impression is unfortunately a common practice even by taxpayer-funded bodies (no reflection on Mr Cocking).
It is also very unlikely that we will never have record-breaking cold spells, either here or elsewhere (as North Americans can testify).
Jacinta Price, however, can be forgiven for assuming that Jimmy Cocking is making his call on the basis of climate models and recent experience (although he may simply be trading on his knowledge of probability).
Accusing Ms Price of being a climate change denier is a deliberate abuse of the language.
It is plain dishonest to label as “deniers” those who are uncertain about the extent of climate change, the relative importance of different factors in causing it, or the likelihood that it will continue at the same rate or in the same direction.
But of course it is well known that the term was cynically borrowed from recent history because “climate change sceptic” was considered too benign a term to apply to heretics who dared to question official claims.
Who would think twice about expressing an opinion if the worst someone could call you is a “sceptic”?
Meanwhile, Mr Sharp is being overly pedantic in picking on Mr Bell for his King Canute analogy.
Whether he meant to or not, Canute demonstrated that humans can not control the tide.
It is not unreasonable to consider that, similarly, they cannot control the climate.
Whether or not they can remains to be convincingly proved.

Dave Richards Also Commented

Heatwaves need to be treated as emergencies: Cr Cocking
Dom: You claim to be amazed that people are having a discussion about climate change in this particular context, but by having a dig at “politicians that still question the science and are happy to gamble with the futures of our children’s and grand-children” you are joining in the discussion – even if it is only to [disagree with] people with whom you don’t agree and appeal to authority rather than address any of the points raised in the discussion.
You also evoke the precautionary principal, but it is unclear from your post whether that is in relation to emergency plans for heatwaves or climate change itself.
If it is the former, then of course it is a good idea for authorities to back such plans, as long as the money they spend in doing so is used effectively.
If it is the latter, we also need to consider the precautionary principal in relation to the economy and the effect that the draconian measures proposed to eliminate carbon emissions in developed countries could have on people less well-off than you or I.
The Laborers’ International Union of North America recently responded to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s “green new deal” by evoking the precautionary principal with somewhat less impractical idealism than is the current fashion: “We enthusiastically support real measures to move toward a carbon-free energy future. We also believe in science, which dictates that we will never reach that goal without lower-carbon bridge fuels such as natural gas and carbon-free fuels such as nuclear power. According to the resolution, a ‘Green New Deal’ would require every car to be electric-powered and ban all fossil fuels, among other proposals. It is difficult to take this unrealistic manifesto seriously, but the economic and social devastation it would cause if it moves forward is serious and real.”


Recent Comments by Dave Richards

Massive gas reserves close to being tapped
@ Alex Hope.
I am surprised what actuaries think amounts to real evidence, especially when they are demanding more money on account of their perceptions.
The IPCC itself says it has no conclusive evidence of more extreme weather events.
People have always been subjective about weather, and in the current atmos-fear, have become even more so.
The idea that there have been more hurricanes or worse ones in the USA has been refuted, and in Australia’s case our weather records are not only extremely short in duration but many old records have been altered by the Bureau of Meteorology.
We should also consider the world’s population has tripled in recent times so it may be there are more people around to notice and experience extreme events rather than more such events per se.
As for the idea of 100% renewable energy either now or soon, it is neither desirable or possible … for reasons you can observe as the sun goes down tonight.


Massive gas reserves close to being tapped
@ Richard Bentley: What clear evidence of more extreme weather events is there? Please let the IPCC know because they have not been able to find any.
And yes, natural gas is carbon-based but produces substantially less CO2 than coal.
Are you suggesting we should jump from a world in which only a few per cent of the energy worldwide is supplied from renewables straight into a 100% renewables scenario?
Have you thought about at whose expense such a drastic shift would come?


Four more years of same-same
It’s questionable whether a high number of candidates mean that a “significant” proportion of the town wants change, especially when the vote indicates that a demonstrably significant proportion doesn’t want change.
I have no idea what motivated individuals to stand, but it is quite possible for a group with particular views to put up as many candidates as they can muster with the aim of getting at least a few of them on council, and perhaps that is what has happened here.


‘Do you mind if I speak to you?’
Thank you Howard. Your wonderful account reminded me of the song by the Youngbloods, I Am A One-Note Man.
It was refreshing to read about someone who asks for so little.
Can anyone tell me, is it true that this gentleman is also a pianist?


Extreme variability: local climate change right now
@ Kieran: Speaking for myself alone, I would say they don’t suggest anything of the sort. They suggest that one would want to see data over much longer time scales and from many more locations before deducing any long term trends. I don’t have such data and I doubt if anyone else does. Do you?


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